Saturday, November 24, 2012

Egypt - Primed for Another Revolutiion?

When I heard that the winner of the Egyptian Presidency was the head of the Islamic Brotherhood, I assumed that it was a given that Egypt would end up replacing one dictator (Mubarek) with another (Morsi).  However, I'm a bit surpised that Morsi showed his true colors as early in the game as he did by declaring that any/all laws/decrees of Egypt's new pharaoh were not reviewable/reversible by the courts.

Wonder if the people of Egypt will accept this, or whether the current small demonstrations will grow?  Strategically speaking, Morsi probably should have handled this assumption of total power a bit more delicately/gradually.

Arab spring? - It's more like an Arab winter in the Middle East  These newly elected democratic governments are seldom sympatico with the United States. Actually, just the opposite is likely - the new governments are likely to end up as religious dictatorships (one democratic vote, and then a religious dictatorship thereafter) - just like Egypt now appears to be.   Sadly, a nonsecular Islamist government is by it's very nature inimical to the United States (and to all non-Muslims).

In the case of Egypt, the new government - the Islamic Brotherhood, are proponents of Sharia Law, turning women into second class (or worse) citizens, the destruction of Israel, and the spreading (and not necessarily peacefully) of Islam wordlwide. Think back to the overthrow of the Shah of Iran, and the malevolent Islamic dictatorship that we've had to deal with ever since. NOTE: True, so far we've been able to bribe (via foreign aid) Egypt into being somewhat reasonable, but that situation could end at any time - quite possibly another Israeli/Hamas flare-up.

Overthrow of dictatorships in Muslim countries is fraught with peril as any change of governments can so easily end up as a religious dictatorship that is far worse than the dictatorship that it replaced ever was.

Comment: We need to be ever vigiliant to opportunities to work with truly democratic forces within Muslim countries in an attempt to guide and support these individuals so that a true democracy, rather than another form of dictatorship, results. Nonsecular governments are not only inimical/hostile to the United States, but they are typically pernicious to a significant portion of their own citizens. Backing the overthrow of friendly dictators (like Mubarek), without having democratic forces identified/supported by this country in place that have a real chance of success in forming a new democratic government, is a recipe for disaster.

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