Wednesday, November 21, 2012

Tragedy in the Middle East?

The Middle East is a powder keg.  We have Muslim extremists in charge of Iran, the Islamic Brotherhood in charge of Egypt, a civil war going on in Syria, and possible "Arab springs" likely to break out in all other spots in the Middle East at any moment.

Insufficient Support from the United States.  We also have a President whose support of Israel is shaky at best.  He has said that Israel should pull back to the 67 borders (the 1967 Israeli/Arab war) - borders that were/are totally indefensible for Israel.  He has failed to visit Israel even once during his first term.   He also failed to accept a meeting with the President of Israel when he was visiting the United States a couple of months ago.  All of the above give the perception to hostile Arab states of a United States President who is not fully in the corner of our number one ally in the region - and as they say, perception is reality.

Iran:  In regard to Iran, we need to be absolutely firm with Iran on their nuclear program. Either they have to stop and dismantle, or we need to attack. We can't allow them to continue playing their delaying game - it'll only lead to Islamic extremists in contol of nuclear weapons. They say they want Israel wiped off the face of the earth - see no reason not to take them at their word.

Think it's very likely that they will use the weapons if they get them. Am doubtful that mutually assured destrution works with a religious fanatic. Think Israel is in tremendous jeopardy. Actually, think that we are too. Have heard the words "great satan" used in regard to the U.S. - do you think it would be beyond the realm of the possible that they would turn a nuclear weapon over to terrorists, and they'd then take them to NYC or Wash, D. C.? 

Dark days ahead for Israel:  If we fail to act against Iran, Israel almost certainly will.  Enemies surround them.  Formerly major allies - Egypt and Turkey, are now shaky allies at best.   In fact, the United States has to bribe Egypt (foreign aid) to pretend to be our/Israel's ally.   But the most immediate and important question is - if we fail to act against Iran, can they succeed on their own?  If not, we face the dire prospect of  not only a nuclear armed Iran (and how incredibly dangerous that is - see above) but the likelihood that other countries in the Middle East will also seek nuclear weapons - nuclear proliferation at it's very worst.

Recommendations: 

1.  We should take the lead in regard to Iran and nuclear weapons, and ensure that they do not obtain them.

2.  We need to be ever vigiliant to opportunities to work with truly democratic forces within Muslim countries in an attempt to guide and support these individuals so that a true democracy, rather than another form of dictatorship, results. Nonsecular governments are not only inimical/hostile to the United States, but they are typically pernicious to a significant portion of their own citizens. Backing the overthrow of friendly dictators (like Mubarek), without having democratic forces identified/supported by this country in place that have a real chance of success in forming a new democratic government, is a recipe for disaster.

Summary:  Think that we are at a crucial moment in history.  Believe that 20 or 30 years from now they will be writing about these days.  I pray that the history books show that we stood firm against Islamic extremism during the crucial hours.

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